What Bangladesh needs to qualify for Super 12

Here is the team by team equation from Group B and what they need to do to go through to the Super 12 


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File photo of BNP Chairperson Khaleda Zia <strong>Syed Zakir Hossain/Dhaka Tribune</strong>

Bangladesh must win the last qualifier game against Papua New Guinea to reach the Super 12 stage of the T20 World Cup. 

But a win might not be enough for the Tigers to seal the Super 12 berth automatically as there is a possibility where three teams from Group B (Bangladesh, Scotland and Oman) can finish on four points from three matches each. 

At the moment after two games, Scotland are leading the points table with two wins with net run rate (NRR) 0.575.

Oman have two points with NRR 0.613 and Bangladesh have two points with NRR 0.500.   

Here is the team by team equation for the Group B sides and what they need to do to go through to the Super 12 stage.

BANGLADESH

Current position: Third – Two points – NRR of 0.500

Last game: Papua New Guinea

What they need to do: Win and hope other result go their way

Due to their opening match loss to Scotland, Bangladesh’s fate is not in their own hands.

If they can beat Papua New Guinea and Scotland can beat Oman, they will be locked in for the Super 12 stage.

If they beat Papua New Guinea and Oman beat Scotland, it will come down to NRR for the Tigers, Oman and Scotland.

At the moment, Bangladesh are slightly behind in the NRR than Oman and Scotland.

Mathematically a win against PNG by more than three runs would see Bangladesh topple one of these two team, and thus they can qualify for the Super 12.   

Even if Bangladesh lose to Papua New Guinea, they need Scotland to beat Oman and hope that NRR finishes in their favor.

SCOTLAND

Current position: First – Four points – NRR of 0.575

Last game: Oman

What they need to do: Win or hope other result go their way

Despite winning their first two matches, Scotland need to win their final group game to guarantee their spot in the Super 12.

That’s because a loss to Oman would see the tournament co-hosts equal them on four points with Bangladesh also able to move to four points if they beat Papua New Guinea.

That would see three teams finish the stage on four points and bring NRR firmly into the equation.

Of the three teams, Oman currently lead this aspect with a NRR of 0.613, just ahead of Scotland (0.575), who are in turn just ahead of Bangladesh (0.500).

Given how tight that is, if Scotland lose they will be hoping Bangladesh also lose or only win by a slim margin.

OMAN

Current position: Second – Two points – NRR of 0.613

Last game: Scotland

What they need to do: Win or hope other result go their way

A win should be enough to secure Oman a spot in the Super 12 stage, as they would finish above Papua New Guinea and likely Scotland too, given they go into the match with the superior of their two NRRs.

Papua New Guinea can only finish on two points, while Oman’s NRR is superior to Scotland’s going into their match Thursday night.

If Oman lose, they need Bangladesh to also suffer a greater defeat but not so great that PNG could leapfrog both of them to second.

PAPUA NEW GUINEA

Current position: Fourth – Zero points – NRR of -1.867

Last game: Bangladesh

What they need to do: Win their game and hope for a NRR miracle

Despite sitting bottom of the group with no points so far, Papua New Guinea are not mathematically out of the race.

If they can beat Bangladesh and Scotland can beat Oman, Papua New Guinea could go through.

It would take something remarkable, however, given how far behind they are from the other three teams in the group on NRR.


Source: t20worldcup.com



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